We are now down to the best 69 golfers of the season as we head into the 2nd leg of the 2020 FedEx Playoffs. It was to be 70 golfers but word just came across that Webb Simpson has just withdrawn due to tiredness (never heard that one before). What we witnessed last week from Dustin Johnson was simply ridiculous, I don’t think we have seen that kind of dominance since Tiger Woods in his prime. Johnson finished with a -30 score and had a shot at shooting a 59 in one of the rounds.
A couple weeks back I took Johnson to win The Memorial Tournament and of course he was awful and missed the cut. My reasoning however was because he is an extremely “streaky” golfer and at the time was coming off his first win of the season. I said he tends to go on hot streaksand can put a few good tournaments in a row together and that is exactly what we are witnessing right now. That being said, is he a good pick this week? Can he put together 4 great weeks in a row? Let’s dive into the top DFS picks for this week.
Top 5 DraftKings BMW Championship Picks
This week is a small field with only 69 golfers and no cut line. For me that means it is time to take chances on risky golfers who can be boom or bust for making the cut. Since we got no cut to worry about this week those types of golfers become very valuable if you catch them on a “hot” week. I want to target guys with high upside and low ownership and I’m not worried about playing it safe.
1) Colin Morikawa
Colin followed up his PGA Championship with disappointing performance at the Northern Trust missing the cut and never really being in sync both days. To be honest, that is not at all surprising as I’m sure the after effects of winning his first Major Championship where still lingering with him. That party might have still been going leading into the Northern Trust so I expect him to be back on track this week just as everyone might be overlooking him. This is a shot making, accuracy course and it fits right into his game perfectly.
2) Tyler Hatton
It was great to see Hatton have a good tournament last week finishing 25th with 92 DraftKings points. He had hit a bad streak leading into the Northern Trust with back to back bad performances so I think last week should put him back on track. And by on track I mean absolutely crushing it on tour. If you go back 3 tournaments these were his finishes for 5 straight tournaments – 4, 3, 1, 6, 6. His stats are great across the board in all important categories for this course so I think another Top Ten finish is in the cards.
3) Paul Casey
This is one of my boom or bust plays as Casey has been frankly awful since the re-start of the 2020 season. He has had one good tournament this year and ironically it was in the most important one, the PGA Championship where he finished 2nd. He’s a risky play and comes into this event with 2 bad recent events but he’s 11th in GIR and 22nd in Strokes Gained Tee to Green. What sucks is his putting, he can’t sink anything this year. That being said that is exactly the type of player I’m looking to play in a no cut event. Putting comes and goes and if he can finally get some luck with his putting stroke he is the type of player that can win this event.
Top 2 DFS Sleeper Picks For The BMW Championship
1) Brian Harman
Harman comes into the BMW Championship with 2 solid events under his belt; 11th at the Northern Trust and 27th at the Wyndham Championship. He is dirt cheap on DK with a $6900 salary and in his last 3 events he has given you an average of 60 DraftKings points. He will be low owned and his 64% driving accuracy is in the upper half of this small field.
2) Ryan Palmer
I have not seen many people talking about Ryan Palmer at all this week and I’m not sure why, he is projected at a measly 6% ownership on Draftkings. Palmer has put up an average of 87 points in his last 3 events and 100 points last week finishing 8th. He has 4 Top Tens this year and for a guy who has been around forever is having one of his best years at age 43. I would never take him on a “Bomber” type course but at Olympia Fields I think he is a risky play I can live with.