2020 3M Open Sleeper Picks
After battling the mind and heart of evil Jack Nicklaus at the Memorial Tournament last week, the tour moves to the 2020 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.
Jon Rahm (-9) was the only one to figure out the twisted Muirfield Village course to win easily…while other PGA superstar golfers struggled mightily…with only 9 golfers ending up below par.
I suggest you make your 2020 3M Open longshot bets at Intertops – they have the best odds out there!
Past Picks Rapid Recap
Who could have imagined the number of world’s top golfers getting absolutely swallowed in Ohio? Here are some of the stunning results:
Missed cuts – Dustin Johnson (+16), Hideki Matsuyama (+10), Webb Simpson (+6), Bryson DeChambeau (+5), Justin Rose (+5), Rickie Fowler (+5), Sungjae Im (+4)
Made the cut, but still got destroyed – Brooks Koepka (+12), Abraham Ancer (+10), Zach Johnson (+10), Adam Hadwin (+9), Louis Oosthuizen (+9), Phil Mickelson (+9), Kevin Streelman (+9), Collin Morikawa (+8), Viktor Hovland (+8), Tiger Woods (+6), Sergio Garcia (+4), Matt Kuchar (+4), Bubba Watson (+4), Rory McIlroy (+4), Gary Woodland (+3), Justin Thomas (+2)
The only long shot that had a chance last Sunday was Ryan Palmer who turned a missed cut +14 from last week at the Workday into a -6 at the Memorial, finishing 2nd.
Jason Day had a decent underdog performance finishing 4th (-4) at his hometown course – an indication his game might be back, but who knows if he will ever get the huge 60-1 odds again anytime soon.
Here are last week’s sleeper picks results (the cut line was +3):
- Rory Sabbatini – Missed cut (+5)
- Joaquin Niemann – Missed cut (+4)
- Jason Dufner – T-44th (+7)
- Jason Day – T-4th (-4)
- Troy Merritt – Missed cut (+8)
- Ian Poulter – Missed cut (+5)
- Sepp Straka – 61st (+11)
Reasoning Behind This Week’s Sleepers
This week, I will base my picks mostly on recent hot play as the 3M Open only has one year of results with this being the 2nd year for the tournament. However, I will consider last year’s results as well, since some familiarity with the course is better than nothing.
Here are some key factors to consider for the 2020 3M Open
- The course features a decent blend of styles with a mix of long and short holes, so no one single golfing style should be favored.
- This will be the first course in many weeks where some “fescue” will come into play.
- Taking place in the land of 10,000 lakes, water hazards abound and will be a factor on the majority of holes, which will lead to some train wrecks.
- The weather should be hit and miss as it can be fairly unpredictable in this region.
Looking for top bets? Check out our 2020 3M Open Betting Picks for course details and info about the favorites to win.
TOP SLEEPER PICK FOR THE 2020 3M OPEN
Henrik Norlander (50 to 1)
Although Norlander didn’t play the 3M Open last year, he has been playing great and is getting hotter each week. He had an amazing -6 round last week finishing 6th on a tough course and finished 12th a few weeks back at the Rocket Mortgage Classic with four under-par rounds. His play has been very consistent, making the last 4 cuts, so he is my top pick at amazing 50 to 1 odds.
ANOTHER LONGSHOT TO MAKE A BET ON
Brian Harman (50 to 1)
Brian Harman almost won the 3M Open last year finishing tied for 7th posting a very nice -16 under par. Although he has missed some recent cuts, Harman was playing well before the 4-month layoff and had a couple of strong tourneys right after the break at the Charles Schwab (T-23rd) and the RBC Heritage (T-28th). With the weaker field this week, he is worth a bet at 50-1 odds.
THIS WEEK’S DEEP SLEEPER PICK
Carlos Ortiz (66 to 1)
Ortiz finished T-5th last year here with a very nice -17 so there is some evidence that he should have a shot. He also finished T-48th last week, which wasn’t bad. His play has been a bit up and down since the Covid break making 3 cuts and missing 2…thus his deep sleeper odds.
Carlos Ortiz has withdrawn from the 3M Open…
OTHER 2020 3M OPEN LONGSHOTS TO WAGER ON
Sam Burns (40 to 1) – Burns finished T-7th at -16 last year at TPC Twin Cities. He didn’t play the Memorial, but finished 17th (-9) at the same course. He has made 3 cuts in a row finishing the top 30 in each one. A solid sleeper bet at 40-1 odds.
Troy Merritt (66 to 1) – Troy played his college golf at Winona State just 2 hours away so you could call TPC Twin Cities his home-town course. He finished T-7th (-16) here last year and is obviously worth a bet this week. Although he missed the cut last week, he didn’t play badly. Before that he made the last 4 cuts finishing 8th 3 weeks ago and 22nd a couple weeks back. No doubt he should be in contention in Minnesota. I considered making him my top sleeper pick.
Wyndham Clark (66 to 1) – Clark finished T-5th (-17) last year in Blaine and although he missed the cut last week, he had one of the better 1st rounds parring every hole…while a couple of double-bogeys took him out on day two. He is a deeper long shot so I will take a shot because of the 66-1 odds.
Cameron Tringale (125 to 1) – Tringale had a respectable -11 here last year, finishing 42nd. He didn’t play last week, but finished 30th a few weeks back in Detroit. Just basically taking a flyer here on a huge 125-1 underdog.
Bottom Line
Most of the world’s top golfers will be skipping this week’s 3M Open as the PGA Championship will follow in just a couple of weeks. With this being a less popular tourney, the field should be wide open and several long shots should be up there within striking distance of 500 Fedex Cup points and the $1,100,000+ top prize. DJ and Brooks will be trying to “fix” their game after last week’s disappointment…and Matthew Wolff will try to defend his win in 2019. Tony Finau will try to continue his hot play and Tommy Fleetwood also makes his debut after the Covid-break…so there are some storylines to look forward to. Although the Minnesota tourney should be rather ho-hum, golfing fanatics and interested bettors should be involved even though it is opening weekend for the MLB season.
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