So the PGA Tour has returned with their first event with no fans in attendance, the Charles Schwab Challenge. Because of the long layoff there will be a much stronger field than normal to look at but relying on the betting favorites this week may be a dangerous strategy.
The most important factor this week is the long layoff and not knowing who has been on the range practicing their game and who has been sitting around watching TV and simply relaxing.
Focusing on course history may be the best way to make picks this week and you may want to go way back in history for some golfers who haven’t played at Colonial for 5-10 years to see how they fared when they played there last. Just remember, this tournament has gone through many name changes so when looking at the history you are looking for: Charles Schwab Challenge, Fort Worth Invitational, Dean and Deluca and Crowne Plaza Invitational for tournament names for results.
Looking at picks to win the Charles Schwab is a bit of a challenge so we are picking a bit blindly and may focus more on head to head betting matchups daily as opposed to outright winners although we will make some plays on those too.
I am fading most of the favorites this week since many have little to no history playing at Colonial and with the layoff many golfers are starting a bit on an even footing.
Top Picks To Win The Charles Schwab Challenge
Favorites To Win
John Rahm – 12 to 1
Rahm was playing really well this year so we’ll have to see how the layoff affects him. He missed last year’s cut but had a 2nd place finish and a 5th place finish in previous trips to Colonial. He is one of the few betting favorites that has played the course in recent years.
Brooks Koepka – 25 to 1
As much as I am fading most of the favorites this week I can’t really dismiss Koepka’s ability to dominate a tournament with how he’s played the last couple of years. He has one appearance at Colonial and finished in 2nd and if you are going to pick a big name as a favorite to win…Koepka is a pretty solid bet.
Value Picks To Win
Jordan Spieth – 40 to 1
Spieth may have fallen off the radar of many bettors but the odds makers still think that Spieth is worth considering. He has five Top 10’s at Colonial including a win and at 40-1 odds that is some great value you are getting for his course history here. Do keep in mind though he hasn’t played all that well the last couple of years so he will have to regain his form in order to come through. If you want an outright winner bet at longer odds Spieth is a really good play this week.
Kevin Na – 50 to 1
Na has always played the course well and finally broke through last year with a win. He is at the 50-1 odds range for bettors and worth a pick to go back to back but more likely you can make money using him in head to head bets or threesome bets during the week.
Matt Kuchar – 50 to 1
Matt Kuchar hasn’t played at Colonial in a couple of years but he has a pretty solid record there with a few Top 5 finishes and a few top 20’s. His game has always been better suited for a shot maker course and he could be a sneaky play this week amongst the top players in the field.
Sleeper Picks To Win
Phil Mickelson – 100 to 1
It’s surprising that Phil doesn’t play at Colonial more often given that he has two career wins there. Now approaching 50 years old his 100-1 odds seem appropriate but he still played well on TV at “The Match” just a few weeks ago and at such long odds he makes an interesting bet as an outright winner.