The 2020 RBC Heritage takes place this week (June 18 – June 21) in Hilton Head, South Carolina at the Harbour Town Golf Links. It is the 2nd in a string of fan-less PGA tournaments after the COVID-19 extended break. Many of the golfers who played last week’s tourney will look to sharpen their game again in this one, and a solid group of players will be coming off a long layoff as well.
Once again, I am going to fade the world’s top-ranked group and aim to bet on some really deep sleepers that have a solid course history at Harbour Town and hope to strike it rich by throwing down a few dollars at Intertops Sportsbook.
Past Picks Rapid Recap
The Charles Schwab Challenge last week went off without a hitch all things considered. The same can’t be said for the enormous group of golfers who choked on the final few holes missing putt after putt by just a few inches or by lipping out – OMG! There were 5 players who could have easily walked away with the title by simply sinking short putts in crunch time such as Colin Morikawa, Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Kokrak, Xander Schauffele, and of course Justin Rose who I had at a 40-1 longshot to win it all…oh so close! But, in the end, Daniel Berger completed a nice little comeback to take it in a playoff against Morikawa, who was once again VERY impressive as a sophmore.
Justin Spieth, another one of my 40-1 longshots to win, looked to be running away with things at a couple points in the tourney, but imploded, losing his game on Sunday by shooting a very inconsistent +1 to finish 4 shots back. He looks to be on the verge of shooting up in the world rankings once again though! On to the RBC Heritage longshots…
Reasoning Behind This Week’s Picks
I am going to take what I witnessed at the Colonial C.C. on the weekend and fade most golfers returning from a layoff as I don’t want to lose any bets again due to missed short puts when the money is on the line.
Secondly, I am going to focus on past performances on the course since there is not too much else to go by right now…
Amazingly, there are a solid group of underdogs who should do well and have a real shot at walking away with the Tartan Jacket and make me a ton of profit.
Key Things To Consider For The RBC Heritage Event
For a more in-depth look at the course and past history check out our RBC Heritage Preview 2020.
Top Sleeper Pick To Win
Matt Kuchar (35 to 1)
Kooch has six top 10s at Harbour Town finishing 2nd last year, 23rd the year before, 11th in 2017, 9th in 2016, 5th in 2015 and winning the plaid jacket in 2014. Over these 6 past years, he has averaged a -9 on the course, which almost assuredly places you in the top 5-10. He has made the cut at the RBC 15 of 16 times which also makes him a great fantasy play and seemed to use the Charles Schwab as a tuneup to get his game back into gear after the layoff without overworking by not playing on Saturday and Sunday missing the cut by just 1 stroke (intentional?). Like a fine veteran race horse, he is set up to contend and win the tournament and I fail to see the logic behind his generous 35 to 1 betting odds.
Best Value Longshot Pick
Kevin Kisner (50 to 1)
Kisner played a very consistent tourney last week in Texas and has a super course history at Hilton Head. He finished 7th in 2018, 11th in 2017, and lost in a playoff in 2015 despite shooting an amazing -18! He has made the cut 6 of 7 times and has the game to be in the mix. I will look to cash in at 50x my money with him.
Deep Sleeper Pick At Big Odds
Troy Merritt (250 to 1)
An inconsistent golfer at best, Troy Merritt, merits some consideration here as a possible long shot to win as he shows occasional flashes of potential. He placed 10th last year at this course with a solid -7 and also placed 3rd back in 2015 with an outstanding -16. So there is some course history. He always seems to have a handful of top 10 finishes each season and is paying a handsome 250x your money – definitely worth a few bucks as a huge sleeper pick.
Longshot Picks Worth A Look
These are the guys that just missed the cut for being the best longshot picks and are solid bets for outright win but I like them better to place Top Ten.
Gary Woodland (33 to 1) – played well last week finishing 9th and is rounding into fine form.
Branden Grace (50 to 1) – has some course history, amazing finesse game and played well last week finishing just 6 shots off the lead.
Jason Kokrak (66 to 1) – although he is more of a heavy hitter, he showed finesse last week at a similar style course finishing 3rd and has a top 10 at Harbour Town.
Luke Donald (150 to 1) – although it is not 2011 any more and I am no longer high on Donald, no golfer can come close to matching his course history…Donald has 5…yes 5…2nd place finishes at Harbour Town and a couple 3rd place finishes! No one has more incentive to finally win this tourney.
RBC Heritage Bottom Line
It was a very peaceful feeling watching last week’s 2020 PGA return over the weekend and, I honestly did not miss having fans on the course due to the excellent TV coverage. This week should be no different, but even better as the views of the spectacular island course at Harbour Town should inspire golf enthusiasts chilling and watching the 2020 RBC Heritage. So toss down a few bucks and enjoy the golf because you just never know when it can all disappear in a blink of an eye or a quick sneeze!
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