Crapshoot! This is about the only way to describe the process of picking winners for the 1st real PGA tournament in over 90 days following the suspension of the golf season due to a global pandemic of epic proportions.
And, of all places to begin things, we start with the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge at The Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas.
Crapshoot – in reality, what a PERFECT opportunity for me and other golf bettors to capitalize on some huge value when it comes to finding longshot picks to win. I have been watching golf for so many years now, and never have I seen the stars align so wonderfully to provide for such an open field in the PGA betting market. So, let’s get to some reasoning and this week’s sleeper picks to make some big money at my favorite golf betting site!
Reasoning Behind This Week’s Picks
First off, throw everything that happened before the middle of March out the window and hit the reset button. There is ZERO point in looking at recent and past performances this year. Everyone’s world was thrown a loop and chaos ensued, so even for PGA pros, this break, change in the PGA schedule and time away from golf at this time of year is completely new.
Secondly, one thing I usually look at is who is “preparing” for the majors like The Masters, The Open Championship (I still call it the British Open), The US Open and The PGA Championship…but this has been completely thrown out of whack – so disregard any of that!
See a trend? It is going to be a CRAPSHOOT! In my opinion, everyone starts at “Square One” for the season.
So, the only reasoning / data we can legitimately go with is past performances and playing style at the Colonial course. Here are some important points with regard to the Colonial C.C. and style of play:
Things To Consider At The Colonial
For a more in-depth look at the course and past history check out our Charles Schwab Preview.
My Top Sleeper Pick To Win
KEVIN NA (50 to 1)
Back to back wins at the Colonial? Why not…it is 2020 after all! There is more to this pick than taking last year’s winner and running with it though… Let’s start with the odds – 50x your money for a guy who won the tourney last year, placed 4th the year before and 10th back in 2015. That is three top-10 finishes in the last 5 years! Some of Na’s strengths in terms of playing style include being one of the best putters on the PGA, great from the sand, and amongst the top golfers recently in accuracy including around the green proximity to the hole (ARG) and scrambling. Kevin Na was also playing well back in February before COVID-19 struck. There is no reason not to throw a few bucks on Kevin Na as a solid longshot pick to win.
Next Best Longshot To Target
JUSTIN ROSE (40 to 1)
I still consider Justin Rose a top-10 player in the world and CAN NOT BELIEVE he is paying 40x your bet at this tournament! Not only does the course suit Justin Rose being one of the best scramblers, bunker players and short game gurus in the history of golf, but there is some course history as well – he won the tourney in 2018 with a mind-blowing -20 score (the best since Zach Johnson obliterated the field with a -21 in 2010). With the reset-button hit for everyone (Rose was struggling to start 2020) and with Justin Rose going back to playing TaylorMade clubs, things just might just “come up Roses” in Texas this weekend.
Deep Sleeper Pick
DANNY LEE (125 to 1)
Lee has a very nice course history at The Colonial. He is 7 for 7 in cuts made on the course and finished 14th, 6th, 22nd and 10th from 2018 to 2015 respectively. He had a rough go of it in 2019 though (finishing 48th), but still made the cut. However, at 125x your money, you can’t discount him as a deep sleeper pick to win the Charles Schwab Challenge. My main concern is his scores which average about a -7 at Colonial C.C.. However, if you are looking for some top fantasy golf picks, Lee could very well be your man at a low salary this weekend and a perfect longshot to fill in your “make the cut” team with.
Other Longshot Picks Worth A Look
Jordan Spieth (40 to 1) – has the best course history out of the field
Matt Kuchar (40 to 1) – has some course history, amazing finesse game and was playing well back in February.
Louis Oosthuizen (50 to 1) – course suits his accurate short game and solid bunker play.
Phil Mickelson (100 to 1) – you are probably throwing away your money with him, but stranger things have happened in 2020…so why not Mr. Bunker himself at a bunker-heavy course?
Charles Schwab Challenge Bottom Line
Enjoy the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge as we all need a little relief from all that is happening on our planet right now and there is no better way than to chill, sit back with beer in hand and watch some of the best golfers in the world get back into action…FINALLY! Might as well make a few bucks in doing so to boot.
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