The John Deere Classic is out and, a one-off tourney, the Workday Charity Open is in. The Workday will play at Muirfield Village Golf Club – also the home of next week’s Memorial Tournament. This means all golfers playing in both are staying put for 2 full weeks and will be able to get some feel for the course this week in preparation for the bigger prize pool next week. This makes this week crucially important when betting on sleeper picks, because the big guns will be in full force next week (many having a 2-4 day practice round on the course). So, let’s make our wagers count!
Intertops continues to be my site of choice when wagering – their betting odds have been rock solid.
Past Picks Rapid Recap
Well…Bryson finally did it! You knew it was gonna happen sooner or later – he was simply due. When a guy is hitting it that far, there will be a tournament where the driving accuracy is top notch and the irons and putter both kick in. For Bryson DeChambeau, it was his 7th straight top 10 and he finally came in at #1.
This means, because DeChambeau was the strong betting favorite at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, that no sleeper picks could possibly cash in a winning ticket and that no longshot bets were winners. That isn’t to say there weren’t some really close underdogs in the mix… Matthew Wolff (2nd at -20), Danny Willet (4th at -16), Ryan Armour (4th at -16), Maverick McNealy (8th at -15) and Troy Merritt (8th at -15) were all in the hunt on Sunday, but no one could beat the Kraken (DeChambeau’s now famous driver).
This week, DeChambeau is out in Dublin, Ohio, to rest and vacation and ironically practice his golf game… This leaves us some great opportunities to take advantage of cashing in on a big sleeper.
Here are the results of last week’s longshot picks (the cut line was -5):
- Viktor Hovland – Tied for 12th (-14)
- Doc Redman – Tied for 21st (-13)
- Scott Stallings – Tied for 39th (-11)
- Kevin Na – Withdrew (back)
- Brandt Snedeker – Missed cut (-2)
- Brian Stuard – Tied for 30th (-12)
- Nate Lashley – Missed cut (-4)
Things were actually looking up after Friday’s 2nd round with several of the above in contention for 1st place and a nice betting ticket, but then Kevin Na withdrew with back issues and it just wasn’t in the cards for the rest of our sleeper picks as average performances on Saturday took most of our picks out of contention. But that’s why they call them long shots!
Reasoning Behind This Week’s Picks
We will have to base our picks this week on past history at the Memorial Tournament as well as playing style suited to this course.
Key Things To Consider For The Workday Charity Open
- The course plays fairly long and fairways are wide, so driving distance and accuracy will be beneficial.
- The greens are rumored to be slow with a longer cut this week to make things differ from next week on the same course…so strong putters will be sinking birdies left and right with one or two putts.
- Roughs will be shorter than normal, so skilled scramblers will be at an advantage.
For more betting picks, check out our 2020 Workday Charity Open Betting Picks for more details about the course and the likely favorites to win.
TOP SLEEPER PICK FOR THE WORKDAY CHARITY OPEN
Ryan Armour (100 to 1)
This will be his 4th tourney in a row, but he is hot as heck, and is your horse for the course… Armour placed 4th last week collapsing on Sunday and prior to that 6th. He had a very nice showing the last couple years here at Muirfield. He is a hometown boy. I am gonna bet the house on him for a super win!
ANOTHER LONGSHOT TO MAKE A BET ON
Byeong-hun An (66 to 1)
An has had solid results at Muirfield Village with a 17th, 2nd, 25th and 11th in the last 4 years. Because he has been very cold since the layoff, he is at very nice odds to win.
DEEP SLEEPER PICK
Kyle Stanley (140 to 1)
I expected more from Stanley last week at the RMC. He has been good here in Dublin, Ohio posting three top 10s including a 2nd, 6th and 3rd. He has been extremely inconsistent this year missing 7 of 10 cuts, but did post a 3rd back in February at the Puerto Rico Open.
BONUS 2020 WORKDAY CHARITY LONGSHOTS TO WAGER ON
Scott Stallings (100 to 1) – I really like his game lately. He came close at the Traveler’s finishing 6th and was right up there in the hunt last week before fading Sunday.
Troy Merritt (150 to 1) – Merritt finally showed up last week at the RMC placing 8th…and could have closed the deal if not for a 71 on Sunday and an unreachable DeChambeau. He had a very respectable showing on this course last year with a 17th. Maybe he hits the jackpot this week!
Michael Thompson (150 to 1) – Thompson had a chance to win 3 weeks ago at the RBC Heritage finishing 8th with a -17. He had an excellent showing last year here coming in 14th. His game has looked good. Take a chance.
Steve Stricker (300 to 1) – Yes…you heard me right – Steve Stricker… Believe it or not, the 53-year old has a phenomenal record on this course making the cut 16 of 17 times and was a winner back in 2011. Last year he finished tied for 22nd here and his style suits the course perfectly. He also had a couple of good rounds last week at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Bombs away Sally!
Workday Charity Open Classic Bottom Line
Next week ,Covid-19 will slowly become a distant memory as fans return to the PGA. The Workday could possibly the last week without fans and the PGA has done a marvelous job handling the pandemic and all its nuances. There just is something missing when you don’t hear the cheers and roars around the course for the great shot making these golfers display. I will certainly be looking forward to choosing next week’s list of sleeper picks to bet on.
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