Northern Trust Fantasy Picks 2020

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The PGA tour joins the NBA and NHL with it’s own playoffs action this week. The Fedex Playoffs kickoff with the 2020 Northern Trust event at the TPC Boston course. Who would have thought in January that come August it would be one the craziest time of the year for sports, 2020 man! The best golfers in the world are all set to tee if off against each other in an exciting 3 week playoff format where one winner will be eventually crowned at the Tour Championship.

As it stands right now, Justin Thomas holds a 556 point lead over PGA Championship winner Collin Morikawa. Right behind Morikawa are Webb Simpson, Bryson Dechambeau and Sungjae Im all within in striking distance of Thomas. It should be a great tournament this week as the field is stacked with every top golfer in the world and you can argue this field is stronger than you would normally see in any of the 4 golf Majors.

TPC Boston Course Facts

  • Par 71, 7350 yards
  • Three Par 5’s, Eleven Par 4’s and Four Par 3’s
  • There are 4 water hazards and 64 bunkers throughout the course.
  • Last 5 Winners – Bryson DeChambeau (2018), Justin Thomas (2017), Rory McIlory (2016), Rickie Fowler (2015), Chris Kirk (2014)

    Overall this course in not that difficult and ranked 37th in difficulty in 2018 the last time the event was played there. It is ball striking course and being long off the tee is not that much of an advantage this week. I would say accuracy off the tee is more important to me when picking my lineups then driving distance.
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Northern Trust Fantasy Picks

Since the field is so strong this week I think the best way to tackle your DFS lineups will be to create well balanced teams as opposed to Stars and Scrubs. I will be looking to fill most of my teams from guys in the $8000 to $9500 range on DraftKings and $9500 to $10500 on FanDuel.

You can also aim to create a two guys from each tier approach as your lineup build. For example, 2 guys from the upper tier, 2 guys from the mid-tier and then 2 guys from the lower tier. These types of builds tend to be the most successful in DFS golf overall.

If you still haven’t joined DraftKings and are interested to try it out you can gain free entry into a $3 tournament when you make your first deposit this week. Visit DraftKings Now.

Top Tier Golfers This Week

Justin Thomas
Bryson DeChambeau
Rory McIlroy
Dustin Johnson
Collin Morikawa
Jon Rahm

Xander Schauffele
Webb Simpson
Jason Day
Patrick Cantlay
Brooks Koepka
Patrick Reed

Top Tier Pick

Jon Rahm

The top tier is filled with the best of the best and quite honestly it’s hard not to like any of them. Well maybe Koepka is one to fade as he has been a disaster since he started chirping at the PGA Championship a few weeks back. I’m going with Jon Rahm myself hoping to pivot off the higher owned guys like Thomas and Bryson DeChambeau. Rahm has played this event twice and finished 43rd in 2018 but 4th in 2017 so he does have high upside for a top 3 finish and potential win. He comes into this event after a solid 13th place finish at the PGA Championship and is 7th on the tour in SG:T2G and 33rd in GIR. I think he is a sneaky pick that may go overlooked this week.

Stats Since The Covid Re-Start

Events Played – 7
Last 3 Averages – 79 DraftKings Points, Average Place = 22nd
Total Averages – 73 DraftKings points, Average Place = 33rd, 1 Missed Cut
Wins – 1 (Memorial Tournament)

Projected Highest Owned From This Tier
Justin Thomas, Colin Morikawa, Bryson DeChambeau

Mid Tier Golfers This Week

Daniel Berger
Tony Finau
Tiger Woods
Hideki Matsuyama
Paul Casey
Adam Scott
Tommy Fleetwood
Viktor Hovland
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Scottie Scheffler

Tyrrell Hatton
Justin Rose
Rickie Fowler
Billy Horschel
Gary Woodland
Matthew Wolff
Jordan Spieth
Si Woo Kim
Sungjae Im
Kevin Kisner
Harris English

Top Mid Tier Pick

Hideki Matsuyama

I’m going back to the Hideki well once again and for good reason, he is playing great right now. “Great” may be a bit of a stretch because he doesn’t have any Top Tens but look at his consistently in his last five events: 22nd, 20th, MC, 22nd and 21st. He had one off week at the Memorial Tournament but overall he is a Top 25 machine and I think on the cusp of a big week. His course history here is also rock solid:

2018 – 4th
2017 – 23rd
2016 – 15th

He is 2nd in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and I think this may be Hideki’s week for a Top 3 finish.

Stats Since The Covid Re-Start

Events Played – 6
Last 3 Averages – 53 DraftKings Points, Average Place = 21st
Total Averages – 59 DraftKings points, Average Place = 21st, 2 Missed Cuts
Best Finish – 20th place at WGC – Fedex

Projected Highest Owned From This Tier
Harris English

Low End Golfers This Week

Louis Oosthuizen
Brendon Todd
Shane Lowry
Doc Redman
Matt Kuchar
Marc Leishman
Harold Varner
Ryan Palmer
Byeong-Hun An
Phil Mickelson

Russell Henley
Ian Poulter
Adam Hadwin
Joaquin Niemann
Bubba Watson
Joel Dahmen
Ryan Moore
Chez Reavie
Emiliano Grillo
Tom Lewis

Top Sleeper Pick

Dylan Fritelli

Picking the right sleeper pick this week is going to be like throwing darts blindfolded. There are so many guys that are decent players who have the potential to top ten it’s tough to nail down just one or two. I’m going with the guy who is playing extremely consistent in his last 5 and that is Dylan Fritelli. He has never played on this course so that’s a little worrisome but also means he will be extremely low owned and overlooked by most DFS players. Let’s look at his recent finishes:

20th at the Wyndham Championship
33rd at the PGA Championship
18th at the 3M Open
22nd at the Memorial

For a 7K guy on DraftKings thats some great consistently and I’ll take my chances he can pull off another Top 20 performance.

Stats Since The Covid Re-Start

Events Played – 6
Last 3 Averages – 74 DraftKings Points, Average Place = 25th
Total Averages – 58 DraftKings points, Average Place = 20th, 3 Missed Cuts
Best Finish – 8th place at the RBC Heritage

Projected Highest Owned From This Tier
Doc Redman

Last Week’s Picks

Patrick Reed – 9th
DraftKings Points = 112
FanDuel Points = 114

Kevin Kisner – 3rd
DraftKings Points = 117
FanDuel Points = 124

Lucas Glover – MC
DraftKings Points = 29
FanDuel Points = 28

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