2020 BMW Championship Sleeper Picks

bmw championship sleepers

What more can be said about the historic performance of Dustin Johnson last week at the Northern Trust?  The guy obliterated the field with an 11 shot victory.  As quickly as he had lost his game with some terrible tourneys, he found it and is the Fedex Cup Points leader and favorite going into the BMW Championship this week at Olympia Fields in Illionois.

But, I am not here to bet on favorites.  I am here to point out the best sleeper picks and make some big money.  I like betting on longshots in golf because all it takes is 1 win to put you up money for the entire season.  I have come close a couple weeks ago with 40 to 1 sleeper Si Woo Kim finishing 3rd and were it not for the unstoppable Dustin Johnson last week, I would have closed a nice 80 to 1 ticket with Harris English (2nd).  I am gonna ride English again this week because he is just playing too good.

All the golf betting odds in this post are provided by Intertops Sportsbook. I continue to bet on golf at Intertops – I find their longshot odds can’t be beat.


Harris English

Odds to Win – 33 to 1

Not the longest odds at 33 to 1, but English should be considered one of the top 10 favorites this week in my opinion.  He has had a fantastic season and has posted 6 top 25 finishes in a row with a 2nd place finish to only Dustin Johnson last week.  He was playing outstanding before the COVID-19 break and his great play has only continued.  I expect him to be in contention for the title at Olympia Fields come Sunday chasing the 1500 Fedex Cup Points and he deserves a shot.  Easily my top sleeper pick for the BMW Championship.

Three More Longshot Picks I Love

Paul Casey

Odds to Win – 55 to 1

Casey didn’t have a great tournament last week, but it wasn’t a bad one either.  He shot a pretty consistent 4 rounds finishing in 49th at -7.  He has hung around the leaders all year making most cuts and posting some great results.  He usually plays best when the chips are on the table, finishing 2nd at the PGA Championship – weirdly the 1st and only major this year.  He also finished 11th at the WGC before the layoff in Mexico.  He has the game and the pedigree to finish the season strongly and I am willing to risk a few dollars at 50x my money.

Abraham Ancer

Odds to Win – 66 to 1

Ancer didn’t make the cut last week, but still managed to finish in the top 70 this season giving him a shot to do something big this week at the BMW Championship in Illinois. Overall, he has had a very nice season despite disappointing results the last two weeks.  He came out of the break roaring with a 14th/2nd/11th, and then struggled at The Memorial before finishing 15th at the WGC.  He is the type of player that is going to win a tournament sooner than later and this could be the week he puts it all together.  He is only 1472 points back of DJ for the Fedex Cup Points lead and there are 1500 potential points here.  Ancer is worth the longshot odds at 66 to 1.  

Cameron Champ

Odds to Win – 88 to 1

Champ also missed the cut last week, but I am willing to overlook that as he won the charity event just before the tournament.  He has three top 15 finishes since the summer layoff and four top 25s.  He has also shot some very low rounds here and there. His 10th place finish at the PGA Championship could have been even better if it weren’t for an EVEN round on the Sunday. I moreso like the 80 to 1 odds here than I do his likelihood to win…so I will throw down a couple bucks on this sleeper pick.

Extreme Longshot Pick

Michael Thompson

Odds to Win – 300 to 1

Thompson missed the cut the last 2 weeks and I think for that reason he is odds are being hugely inflated to 300x a bet.  He has a win this year just four weeks ago at the 3M and finished 8th at the RBC…so he has the gumption to put together a winning four rounds of golf.  He usually starts tournaments with his best round so look for an early leaderboard appearance, else he probably will just be making an appearance for the last time this year.  He is an “extreme” longshot pick!

Other Sleepers To Consider For The BMW

Louis Oosthuizen (50 to 1) – Played well lately – a 13th last week qualified him here.

Gary Woodland (66 to 1) – Has had an overall very good season.

Alex Noren (66 to 1) – Impressive last week with an 8th place finish.

Brian Harman (125 to 1) – Inconsistent, but some amazing weeks including 11th last week.

Kevin Streelman (200 to 1) – Started off blazing last week then faded.  Always a contender.

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